Summary
- Allan Lichtman, a historian who has correctly predicted the outcomes of nine out of ten presidential elections, believes Kamala Harris will win in November.
- Lichtman’s prediction is based on his “Keys to the White House” formula which analyzes 13 parameters that favor stability.
- Democrats rallying around Harris as their candidate was a smart move and helped preserve key factors for success in the election.
- With Biden dropping out, Democrats lost only one key (the incumbency key) but are still predicted to win according to Lichtman’s analysis.