Ten top Cabinet Ministers are at risk of losing their seats to Reform UK, a damning new opinion poll has revealed. Reform UK secured its highest ever rating in Ipsos’s survey, with 34 per cent support giving Nigel Farage serious hopes of becoming Britain’s next Prime Minister. Meanwhile, Labour’s slump since the 2024 General Election left Sir Keir Starmer with just 25 per cent support, chasing down a nine-point deficit. Kemi Badenoch’s Conservatives received just 15 per cent – the lowest share Ipsos has ever recorded from the Tories.The Liberal Democrats suffered a slight dip since last year on 11 per cent, with the Green Party also taking a hit to fall down to six per cent. Electoral Calculus has revealed that such a scenario would put at least 10 Cabinet Ministers at risk of losing their seats. Angela RaynerPosition: Deputy Prime MinisterSeat: MP for Ashton-under-Lyne since 2015Majority: 6,791 votes over Reform UKRachel ReevesPosition: Chancellor of the ExchequerSeat: Leeds West & Pudsey (formerly Leeds West) since 2010Majority: 12,392 votes over the Tories (12,695 over Reform UK)Pat McFaddenPosition: Chancellor of the Duchy of LancasterSeat: Wolverhampton South East since 2005Majority: 9,188 votes over Reform UKJohn HealeyPosition: Defence SecretarySeat: Rawmarsh & Conisbrough (formerly Wentworth & Dearne and Wentworth) since 1997Majority: 6,908 votes over Reform UKBridget PhillipsonPosition: Education SecretarySeat: Houghton & Sunderland South since 2010Majority: 7,168 votes over Reform UKEd MilibandPosition: Net Zero SecretarySeat: Doncaster North since 2005Majority: 9,126 votes over the Tories (Reform UK did not stand in 2024)Jonathan ReynoldsPosition: Business SecretarySeat: Stalybridge & Hyde since 2010Majority: 8,539 votes over Reform UKLiz KendallPosition: Work & Pensions SecretarySeat: Leicester West since 2010Majority: 8,777 votes over the Tories (10,132 over Reform UK)Lisa NandyPosition: Culture SecretarySeat: Wigan since 2010Majority: 9,549 votes over Reform UKJo StevensPosition: Welsh SecretarySeat: Cardiff East (formerly Cardiff Central) since 2015Majority: 9,097 votes over the Liberal Democrats (10,853 over Reform UK)
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