With Donald Trump‘s swearing-in as the 47th president rapidly approaching, betting markets are in overdrive, pricing in a flurry of executive actions.
Traders on the CFTC-regulated platform Kalshi see an 80% chance Trump will sign at least 15 executive orders on his first day, with the most aggressive wagers banking on 50 or more — offering a 28% implied probability.
From a potential flood of executive orders to new tariffs, immigration crackdowns, and even Bitcoin policy shifts, the first days of the Trump administration could be some of the most consequential in recent history.
How Many Executive Orders On Trump Day 1?
The Kalshi platform, which allows traders to bet on political and economic outcomes, indicates Trump will sign an average of 38 executive orders on Inauguration Day.
For comparison, President Joe Biden issued 17 orders on his first day in 2021, while Trump signed 14 in 2017 during his first term. The most aggressive bet — on 50 or more orders — carries a 28% probability by Friday 3:10 p.m. ET, meaning a $1 …Full story available on Benzinga.com