Summary
- Vice President Kamala Harris has taken a slight lead against former President Donald Trump in presidential election polling.
- Nate Silver’s model shows Harris leading Trump with 45.5% of expected vote compared to Trump’s 44.1%.
- Harris now has a 50.5% chance to win the general election, with a 65.9% chance to win the popular vote.
- Despite some polls showing different results, Silver’s calculations mark the election as a “toss-up.”